Thursday, July 14, 2005

P/E Ratio

Theoretically, a stock's P/E tells us how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earnings. For this reason it's also called the "multiple" of a stock. In other words, a P/E ratio of 20 suggests that investors in the stock are willing to pay $20 for every $1 of earnings that the company generates. However, this is a far too simplistic way of viewing the P/E because it fails to take into account the company's growth prospects

A good example is Microsoft. Several years ago, when it was growing by leaps and bounds, its P/E ratio was over 100. Today, Microsoft is one of the largest companies in the world, so its revenues and earnings can't maintain the same growth as before. The result is a current P/E ratio of 43 (at the time of writing, in June 2002). This reduction in the P/E ratio is a common occurrence as high growth startups solidify their reputations and turn into blue chips.

Company growth rates - How fast has the company been growing in the past, and are these rates expected to increase or at least continue into the future? Something isn't right if a company has only grown at 5% in the past and still has a stratospheric P/E. If projected growth rates don't justify the P/E, then a stock might be overpriced. In this situation, all you have to do is calculate the P/E using projected EPS.

Industry - It is only useful to compare companies if they are in the same industry. For example, utilities typically have low multiples because they are low growth, stable industries. In contrast, the technology industry is characterized by phenomenal growth rates and constant change. Comparing a tech to a utility is useless. You should only compare high growth companies to others in the same industry, or to the industry average

Industry averages for various companies

http://www.investopedia.com/offsite.asp?URL=http://biz.yahoo.com/p/industries.html

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